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The railways are a mess – why is FirstGroup thriving?

The company's shares are up 66 per cent since the start of 2023 and are 30 per cent higher than pre-pandemic levels
December 27, 2023
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The holiday season underlined how the UK rail system has been crippled by strikes, signal problems, crew shortages and engineering work. London Paddington was shut on Christmas Eve, while most services from Kings Cross were cancelled. Despite the persistent disruption, however, the UK’s largest rail operator, FirstGroup (FGP), managed to grow its share price by two-thirds in 2023 and announced a £190mn share buyback. Can its winning streak continue as public frustration swells?

The first thing to note is that FirstGroup is not just a train company. It also runs a bus network, which is reporting rising ticket sales and widening margins, in stark contrast to rival Mobico (MCG) – formerly National Express. This has done a lot to bolster market sentiment.

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