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Can we avoid a global recession in 2023?

Global recessions are relatively rare – but acutely unpleasant
February 10, 2023
  • The world economy is expected to grow between 1 and 3 per cent this year 
  • Even if we dodge a global recession, we may have to contend with downturns in major economies

The bad news is that the US, euro area and UK economies are (at best) expected to suffer a period of economic stagnation this year. But all this gloom is overshadowing some happier news: according to most forecasts, we will avoid a global recession this year. Despite a stagnant outlook for most advanced economies, analysts expect the world economy to grow somewhere between 1 and 3 per cent in 2023 (see chart). 

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