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In the shadow of debt

In the shadow of debt
October 1, 2020
In the shadow of debt

Against this backdrop, it's no surprise that total government borrowing (which has already hit £2 trillion and is greater than 100 per cent of GDP) this year is expected to top £300bn.

Once upon a time, such towering debts would have been considered dangerous and their owners reckless. The cost of servicing high borrowing would be crippling; taxes would have to be raised and spending cut, stymying growth and causing tax receipts to fall. The World Bank declared that when a nation’s debt reached 77 per cent of GDP, its economic growth would inevitably start reversing. Now, however, because they are easily affordable, debt mountains are no longer feared – not even when they exceed 100 per cent of GDP – as long as interest rates can be kept ultra-low, economic growth is greater than the rate of interest, and the government can print its own money. The highly indebted US and Japan bear testament to this.

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